Tropical Storm Michael Public Advisory
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Michael Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
700 AM CDT Mon Oct 08 2018
...MICHAEL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE VERY SOON...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG WINDS SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN CUBA...
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...20.9N 85.1W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM ENE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM S OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The Cuban province of Pinar del Rio
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cuban province of the Isle of Youth
* The coast of Mexico from Tulum to Cabo Catoche, including Cozumel
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Navarre Florida to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Alabama-Florida border to Suwannee River Florida
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Suwannee River to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay
* Alabama-Florida border to the Mississippi-Alabama border
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests elsewhere across the southeastern United States should
monitor the progress of Michael.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Michael was
located near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 85.1 West. Michael is
moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h). A northward motion
at a slightly faster forward speed is expected through Tuesday
night, followed by a northeastward motion on Wednesday and
Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Michael will move
northward across the Yucatan Channel today, and then across the
eastern Gulf of Mexico this evening through Wednesday. Michael is
expected to move inland over the Florida Panhandle or Florida Big
Bend area on Wednesday, and then move northeastward across the
southeastern United States Wednesday night and Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Michael is
expected to become a hurricane later today. Michael is forecast to
be near or at major hurricane strength when it reaches the
northeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night and Wednesday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
reconnaissance aircraft is 982 mb (29.00 inches).