Newest post shows Dorian will turn northward earlier than expected

dorian

SC Governor Henry McMaster today issued an executive order declaring a state of emergency and urges South Carolinians to prepare for the possibility of Hurricane Dorian impacting the state. The executive order enables all state agencies to coordinate resources and sets into effect the State Emergency Operations Plan.

The declaration by the governor also authorizes state and local emergency management agencies to begin mobilizing assets and resources to be staged along the coast ahead of any potential impact from Hurricane Dorian.

“Given the strength and unpredictability of the storm, we must prepare for every possible scenario,” said Gov. McMaster. “State assets are being mobilized now and Team South Carolina is working around the clock to be ready, if necessary. We encourage all South Carolinians who may be impacted by Hurricane Dorian to be vigilant and prepare now – there is no reason for delay.”

For more information visit scemd.org or follow @SCEMD on Twitter and Facebook.

Individual Preparation

Residents in South Carolina should begin the necessary preparations for the possible effects of Hurricane Dorian. The South Carolina Emergency Management Division is monitoring the storm, which forecasters say could affect the state beginning next week. 

Residents should review their plans and consider actions they would need to take if the storm threatens the state. Everyone should monitor the storm via local news media, National Weather Service offices and follow updates from official, verified sources, such as @SCEMD on social media.

“We’ve been watching Hurricane Dorian very closely over the past week. The current forecast track indicates Dorian will stay out to sea, just off the coast of Florida, and may impact South Carolina,” SCEMD Director Kim Stenson said, “It is vital that every resident have a personal emergency plan and be ready to take action if told to do so.”

Residents should download the SC Emergency Manager mobile app to build a personal emergency plan, keep track of emergency supplies, and have a way to stay connected with loved ones in addition to official emergency information. The SC Emergency Manager is available in the App Store and on Google Play: http://onelink.to/dn92rx

The official 2019 S.C. Hurricane Guide is available at scemd.org.

The South Carolina Emergency Response Team is now at Operational Condition Level Two. OPCON 2 means a disaster or emergency is likely to affect the state and Emergency Operations Plans are implemented. The State Emergency Operations Center is partially activated with SCEMD staff in preparation for a full-scale activation Sunday.

Emergency managers are making initial preparations for the possibility of any hazardous situations while select personnel from SCEMD’s Operations and Preparedness sections continue to monitor Hurricane Dorian from the State Emergency Operations Center in West Columbia.

In Beaufort County, the sheriff's office will have conference call with the State Emergency Management Division after which more information should be available to provide to residents.

Hurricane Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 29A

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019

200 PM EDT Sat Aug 31 2019

...SEVERE HURRICANE DORIAN CONTINUES HEADING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN

BAHAMAS WITH LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND DEVASTATING WINDS...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...26.1N 73.9W

ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM E OF GREAT ABACO IN THE BAHAMAS

ABOUT 385 MI...625 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* Northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...

* Andros Island

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected

somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and

property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible

within the watch area.

Interests in southern and central Florida should continue to monitor

the progress of Dorian. Watches may be required for portions of the

east coast of Florida later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor

products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the distinct eye of Hurricane Dorian was

located near latitude 26.1 North, longitude 73.9 West. Dorian is

moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a slower westward

motion should continue into early next week. On this track, the

core of Dorian should move over the Atlantic well north of the

southeastern and central Bahamas today, be near or over the

northwestern Bahamas on Sunday, and move near the Florida east coast

late Monday through Tuesday.

Data from an Air Force reconnaissance plane indicate that the

maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher

gusts. Dorian is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson

Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely, but

Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane during the next

few days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from

the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115

miles (185 km).

The minimum central pressure reported by a reconnaissance plane was

945 mb (27.91 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning

area across the northwestern Bahamas by Sunday, with tropical storm

winds beginning tonight.

STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels

by as much as 10 to 15 feet above normal tide levels in areas of

onshore winds in Great Abaco and Grand Bahama. Near the coast, the

surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall

accumulations this weekend into the middle of next week:

Northwestern Bahamas...10 to 15 inches, isolated 25 inches.

Coastal sections of the southeast United States...4 to 8 inches,

isolated 12 inches.

Central Bahamas...2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF: Swells will begin affect the east-facing shores of the

Bahamas, the Florida east coast, and the southeastern United States

coast during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause

life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult

products from your local weather office.

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